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At the time, a significant number of sponsors, employees,
consultants as well as investment experts believed that active managers could not
reliably outperform the major market indexes. Some active managers even seemed to
throw in the towel by making their portfolios more reflective of an index.
With this belief, it was only natural to question whether
active managers were worth the investment. After all, managers who stuck to an
index had far lower management fees, and they were performing better too.
An opportunity to lower plan expenses and improve results at
the same time must have seemed too good to be true for plan trustees and
fiduciaries. In fact, it was. It now appears that both aspects of the indexing
decision are questionable.
Active managers, especially those who do not emulate the
indexes, now show performance over both short- and long-term periods that is well
ahead of the indexes. More importantly, this holds true over rolling time periods
as well as those that ended recently. On a rolling 10-year basis, a number of
managers have repeatedly outperformed the Toronto Stock Exchange 300 Total Return
Index, after fees, and by margins as wide as 3.25% per annum or more.
The realization that active managers can indeed beat the
indexes in a cost-effective manner is not good news for defined benefit (DB) plan
sponsors that expected to reduce their expenses by indexing. By avoiding active
investment decisions, these sponsors have let the market--bad investments as well
as good ones--drive their returns lower than actuarial funding requirements (see "A
cautionary tale," page 49).
For example, an indexed billion-dollar DB plan that had a
comfortable $150-million surplus three years ago at the time of its last actuarial
valuation is now facing an experience deficiency of $32 million. Amortizing this
deficiency will cost the plan sponsor $8 million of corporate earnings or equity
per year for the next five years.
The additional funding expense of $8 million a year dwarfs
the $2 million reduction in investment management fees the plan sponsor achieved by
indexing. As well, the $8 million has to be paid out of corporate earnings each
year. There is no option to pay it out of the pension fund, as there was with
management fees.
FIDUCIARY ISSUES
Corporate executives who sit on their companies' pension committees have multiple
fiduciary responsibilities. As committee members, they must ensure the prudent
operation of the pension fund. As corporate officers, they also owe a duty to their
shareholders or owners. If a decision to index the pension fund adversely affects
shareholders or owners to a significant degree, it is reasonable for these parties
to question whether their interests were taken into account when executives chose
to index.
It could also be argued that indexing was a speculative as
opposed to prudent investment decision. There may well have been a rationale
proposed for indexing. But in the end, plan fiduciaries have made a decision to
invest in securities that have not passed any screens for suitability or prudence.
Investments in the defunct mining company Bre-X are a good example.
The purpose of the pension fund is to meet the plan's
liabilities. These are generally long term in nature. As we have seen, evidence
that active managers can outperform the indexes over longer time periods--much
shorter than the liabilities, to be sure--does exist. It has for some time.
Consequently, we must ask if a decision to index took proper notice of the nature
of the plan's liabilities, and whether the pension committee met its fiduciary
obligations to the plan.
The answer to this question depends on the process by which
the committee reached its decision to index. If the committee chose to index
because its members did not want to miss out on the high returns that the indexes
were offering, or for political reasons within the company, this would likely not
have been a prudent decision.
On the other hand, if the committee decided to index after an
extensive asset/liability study and careful consideration of the risks involved
relative to the plan's risk tolerance, it probably did meet its fiduciary
obligations. Prudent fiduciary conduct and making the best decisions are not
necessarily the same thing.
LESSONS LEARNED
Here are four lessons that we can learn from the index bubble over the past few
years.
1. Remember liabilities. The purpose of a
pension fund is not to match the indexes--it is to cover the plan's liabilities so
that pension benefits can be paid. The objectives for the fund should relate to the
plan's needs, not the market's.
2. Models aren't reality. Many plan sponsors
have attempted to take liabilities into account by conducting detailed
asset/liability modeling. It is difficult to do this using actual investment
managers on the asset side of the equation, so the models use indexes instead.
Unfortunately, this can result in a desire to emulate the indexes in order to fit
the model.
3. Use appropriate time frames. Does anyone remember
day traders? In today's fast-paced world, it can be difficult to think about time
frames as long as a year, let alone those over which pension liabilities evolve.
Periods of 10 years or more are actually more appropriate for pension investment
issues. Yet, how many pension committees use them? And how many will make mistakes
by focusing on two- or three-year periods?
4. Don't let fees drive investment decisions. Fees
should be reasonable. In fact, the numerous Pension Benefits Acts across Canada
require this. Competition among investment managers is fierce, and fee schedules
are available to all plan sponsors and consultants. Any manager whose fees are
excessive will lose business.
At the same time, if someone offers you a better product at a
lower price, be sure the product really is better at meeting your needs before
being swayed by the lower price. This is as true for pension investment as it is
for refrigerators. If investment decisions are driven by a desire to lower fees,
the sponsor may prove to be penny wise but pound foolish. BC
Simon Segall is vice-president, marketing with
Foyston, Gordon & Payne Inc. in Toronto. ssegall@foyston.com.
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A cautionary tale
In the case of XYZ Corp., indexing leads to underfunding.
On June 30, 1998, XYZ Corp.'s defined benefit plan filed an actuarial
report with regulators. The actuarial discount rate used in the
valuation was a conservative 7% per annum. At that time, the plan had
liabilities of $850 million, an annual normal cost of $40 million and
assets of $1 billion. With a comfortable surplus of $150 million, XYZ
decided to fund the normal cost out of the surplus.
The company's pension committee had received a compelling sales
presentation from a leading index manager. Committee members also knew
that no one could criticize them for hitching the pension fund's wagon
to the indexes. At the same time, they could cut their average
investment management fee by 20 basis points, or $2 million a year.
By July 1, 1998, the XYZ committee had completed its transition to a
fully-indexed balanced approach. The committee decided to index to the
same mix of indexes tracked by a reputable consulting firm as the
passive benchmark it used in assessing balanced performance.
The committee members had a brief period of anxiety when the indexes
plunged in August 1998, but their worries soon disappeared in the
glorious returns the fund earned during the technology bull market. One
committee member did try to say that the fund was heavily invested in
over-valued and under-proven companies, but these concerns were ignored
in the general euphoria. Even the media told the committee members they
were right to index. XYZ's board of directors was delighted.
By June 30, 2001, it was time to file another actuarial valuation. The
bloom was definitely off the indexing rose by this point. The passive
benchmark had earned a compound rate of return of 4.4% per annum in the
three years since the plan had indexed. With that rate of return, the
plan had assets of $1.14 billion on June 30, 2001. Unfortunately, it
also had liabilities of $1.17 billion, resulting in an experience
deficiency of $32 million that had to be amortized over the next five
years by annual special payments of $8 million.
The board of directors was not pleased to see an investment management
fee saving of $2 million per year transformed into a new corporate
expense of $8 million annually. At the next board meeting, one director
plans to point out that the active manager the committee had fired
three years earlier had earned 8.2% per annum since then, which would
have left the plan with a surplus of $97 million.
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