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© Copyright 2002
Rogers Media. The following article first appeared in the January 2002 edition
of BENEFITS CANADA magazine.
Pension Planning
Best of both
worlds
The Pension Finance Associates set out to design
better pension plans. Decades later, much work still needs to be done.
By Keith Ambachtsheer
Twenty years ago, a small group of peaceful
revolutionaries banded together to overthrow conventional wisdom in the pension
world. The Pension Finance Associates (PFA) set out to connect the separate
silos of pension investments, actuarial science and all the antiquated apparatus
that had helped sustain the fragmented status quo. Yours truly confesses to
being one of the founding members of the group.
PFA's greatest success was also its greatest
failure. The success was the early insight that both defined benefit (DB) and
defined contribution (DC) plans suffer from serious design flaws. A 'best of
both' synthesis was needed to create a new class of retirement schemes that were
sustainable, transparent, fair and cost effective.
PFA did work on developing a vision of what such schemes
should look like. But our failure is that we never followed through to
successfully sell our better mousetrap to the pension world.
What were the serious design flaws in DB and DC plans?
PFA argued they have the same source: inefficient risk pooling.
In the DB arena, these inefficiencies revolve around
unclear issues such as which stakeholders bear inflation risk, which
stakeholders gain and lose from the extreme back-end loading of pension
accruals, and which parties underwrite balance sheet deficits, in contrast with
those that benefit from balance sheet surpluses.
Looking to DC plans, the inefficiencies are less fuzzy.
In the capital accumulation phase, fluctuations in market returns and skill
differences impose a lottery ticket effect on plan participants. Some will do
well, while others will fare poorly.
During the capital decumulation phase, most participants
also sign up for the mortality lottery. How long should the accumulated capital
be made to last? Ten years? Twenty years? Or even longer? Die early and you win,
live long and you lose. Go figure.
Now, 20 years later, the DB and DC chickens have come
home to roost. The 1980s saw the predictable (and still unresolved) fight over
mandated inflation protection in DB plans. The equity bull market of the 1990s
saw the emergence of surpluses on DB plan balance sheets.
Predictably, with no clarity in the underlying pension
deals, all stakeholder groups have been claiming these surpluses for their own
benefit. Our legal and regulatory communities have been all too willing to join
these often nasty frays.
The equity bull market of the 1990s had another effect on
pension plans. Plan participants grew increasingly impatient with backend-loaded
DB plans. They wanted a piece of the investment action, and they wanted it now.
An increasing number of plan sponsors have been happy to accommodate these plan
members by offering new DC plans. Offloading both balance sheet risk and plan
expenses in one fell swoop onto a willing workforce has proved too tempting an
opportunity to pass up.
In March 2000, stock prices began to fall rather than
rise. Even now--almost two years later--it is not clear when prices will stop
falling. Apparently, the risk side of the equity risk-reward equation has not
been repealed after all. Both participants and sponsors of DC plans are
beginning to wonder what they got themselves into.
So the question of how to build a better pension
mousetrap remains. We must design arm's length, well-governed mechanisms that
pool investment and mortality risks efficiently, and that operate at a large
enough scale to be cost effective.
These mechanisms will be transparent and fair for both
current and future generations of plan members and plan sponsors (ultimately
taxpayers or business owners). Twenty-five years ago, author Peter Drucker used
the word 'legitimacy' to classify such pension schemes. While we have since made
some progress towards building pension schemes endowed with legitimacy, we still
have a long way to go. BC
Keith Ambachtsheer is a
strategic adviser to major pension schemes around the globe. He is also the
current president of the Association of Canadian Pension Management. kpa@kpa-advisory.com.
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