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©  Copyright 2002 Rogers Media. The following article first appeared in the March 2002 edition of BENEFITS CANADA magazine.


Tactics for tough times

Diversification and monitoring returns are the keys to a successful plan.

BY CATHERINE OWENS
With an amazing 90% accuracy rate, Can-ada's leading prognosticator, Willie the groundhog, has been predicting when spring will arrive for 40 years. He simply comes out of his hole and looks for his shadow. Wouldn't it be great if plan sponsors, providers and money managers had the same ability (with the same accuracy) to predict the markets and determine what the hot investment class will be?

A look at various asset classes from 1999 to 2001 illustrates the difficulty of trying to predict investment trends. The hot asset class of 1999 became the dog in 2001, and the dog in 1999 became the darling in 2001 (see "Hot assets," below). This market volatility makes it challenging to manage pension assets effectively.

In the early days of group retirement plans there were few investment vehicles. A plan sponsor might have offered a five-year guaranteed interest account and a balanced fund, and decided where members' savings would be invested with little or no input from employees. The early 1990s signaled one of the biggest changes that the industry had seen in decades. More organizations moved from defined benefit to DC plans, and there was increased demand for more investment choices among members.

With this shift, sponsors needed more fund options to meet members' varying needs for diversification and lifestyle planning. As fund selection and portfolio composition became more complex, the industry created portfolio funds or asset allocation funds. These funds are typically diversified by asset class and investment style. They were designed to give sponsors and members a simpler investment choice, while optimizing potential returns and reducing risk.

It is now common for DC members to determine their investment portfolio. Accordingly, sponsors should select quality investment options, monitor and manage all of the investments in the plan and ensure funds are compliant with the plan's investment policy. Now that plans offer a multitude of funds, this task is much more challenging.

With the increase in both market volatility and fund choices, sponsors must ensure that there are quality investment options in their plan that decrease risk while optimizing potential returns. At the same time, employers must meet their fiduciary duties. The key is to diversify and monitor the plan's investment options.

U.S. research firm Ibbotson Associates reports that over 90% of investment returns are directly related to an appropriately diversified asset mix. The other 10% is due to market timing. Sponsors that monitor funds on an ongoing basis can ensure that the investments are in line with their particular risk tolerance, and that the manager is true to style and managing to the set benchmark.

A survey of sponsors by Manulife Financial reveals that:

> 96% feel it is important to have a professional select investment options and review their performance on behalf of members.

> 92% say a documented process of review provides confidence in the quality of investment offerings within a plan, as well as a vehicle with which to manage the fund.

> 89% believe that a documented process of review provides an appropriate way to look after members' interests.

> 75% say that a documented process would help reduce fiduciary risk.

In the absence of a prognosticating groundhog, sponsors should ensure that the investments in their DC plan are sufficiently diversified and well monitored. BC

Hot assets
Asset class
1999
2000
2001
Canadian stocks
31.7%
7.4%
-12.6%
Canadian small- cap stocks
20.3%
7.3%
2.5%
International stocks
20.1%
-10.7%
-16.4%
U.S. stocks
14.2%
-5.7%
-6.5%
Canadian bonds
-1.1%
10.2%
8.1%
Source: Market returns from TSE 300, Nesbitt small cap, EAPE MSCI, S&P 500, SMU.


Catherine Owens is the vice-president of marketing and business development with Manulife Financial in Waterloo, Ont. catherine_owens@manulife.com






















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