Money managers less confident

Global investors’ confidence in the world’s economic outlook has fallen significantly due to concerns over China and emerging markets.

A BofA Merrill Lynch Fund Manager survey for September also finds investors’ risk appetite has evaporated as equity overweights are down 24 percentage points in a month.

Other key findings from the survey show:

  • sentiment towards global emerging markets soured further, with underweights at a record 34% and aggressive underweights are at an all-time high;
  • cash balances are back up to 2008 crisis level of 5.5%;
  • hedge fund net exposure and perception of market liquidity conditions are both at the lowest level in three years; and
  • investors’ expectation of U.S. Fed rate rise has been postponed to the fourth quarter.

“Investors were already positioned for lower growth in China and emerging markets, but their risk-off stance has intensified,” says Michael Hartnett, chief investment strategist at BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. “Contrarians will be noting the aggressive underweight positioning in emerging markets.”

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